Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | My Lion (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elle Est Forte | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Fast Kimmie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | From Hello | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Hot Chick | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Firefoot | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosemary Potatoes | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Strand of Gold | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sensation | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frosty Invasion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Divine Wine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Miscreant | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tap It Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Banker | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Queen | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Karen | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backed by Gold | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Flame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tass | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Odor | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aziza | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Seeker | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cafe Fleur (FR) | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ok Honey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Toned Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Halo City | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Charge Nurse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Bolton Landing S.) – Bolton Landing S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Fire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amidst Waves | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gram | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Astonesthrowaway | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Imperial | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takemetothebeach | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catherine Wheel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munny Rockette | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ella Elizabeth | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candied | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Minit | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Most of All | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Nancy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brookmesa | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Miss | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madam Leota | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Snow Dance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buchu | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodnight My Angel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Memorialize | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Lover | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lamorna | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causeway’s Jewel | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steel Lute | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Growth Rate | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victory Badge | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Paradise Lane | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Princess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Classy Mischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenwick | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Sundaeswithsandy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mount Up | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Set Sail | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bramito | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chileno | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fenwick | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reserve Currency | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pledgeofallegiance | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fromanothamutha | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Vector | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Digitize | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Villa | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silo Ridge | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaky Pants | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Chic | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magico | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unclecharliesgift | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Rain | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Vicente (ARG) | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gate Runner | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Legendary Lore | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Good Rapport | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Fight Fiercely | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Money Supply | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Looker | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leftembehind | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gate Runner | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stjames | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Covert Kat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Forwardly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Morning Cup | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Java Buzz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Quality G | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ableton | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Billy’s Got Issues | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Empire Attraction | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Watch Hill | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chalky Cat | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Under the Knife | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mudville Nine | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woodside Warrior | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Toby | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sin Nombre | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Heart | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquist | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Two Chuckles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.