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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pardy Pleaser 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Tranquil Waters 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Isayso 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bubbly Champagne 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Alcohol 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Cleopatra’s Nile 5.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Betty 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Mi Amore 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Casually 4.50 6 11-1
10 10 Cajun Dove 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Revolu 12.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Gouldian 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gita’s Miracle 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sonicus 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Li Li Bear 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Rapturous 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 David’s Rose 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Big Band Luzziann 2.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Barbara 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starship Dynasty 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Unifieds Princess 15.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Grey Princess 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Kittenzen 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Nelida 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dudefoolingdarling 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Far Above 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tapple Cider 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Forbidden Dream 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Take the Podium 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Katiesdreamgirl 30.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sweet Actress 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bella Miura 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 What a Knockout 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Mudshaft 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen Honesty 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Fumblerooski 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Good Bright Flames 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 My Blessing 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Let’s Go Philly 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Kiki 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Umbral 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Little Carley 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backchat 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dear Dad 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 The Mar 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Uncle Armando 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Starship Wizard 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Capture the Time 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Sterling Harmony 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Free Smoke 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mist 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Llamarada 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Bigbouquetofroses 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dancing N Dixie 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Miss Sayely 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Spicy Guacamole 5.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Ashima 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Castellana 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Miguel’s Belle 15.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Time Miss 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Time Passage 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Lucky Peridot 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Demogorgon 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Starship Agenda 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sandpiper Memories 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 Zosterop 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Irazu 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Crystal Coast 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sensitivity 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blue Soldier 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Muntaliq 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Partner Tours 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Corporate Affair 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Anthony’s Rocket 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Sergeant Sinatra 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Noble Tiger 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Always Golden 30.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Galactic Jack 30.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Good Bump 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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