Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Special Element | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Special Element | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk It | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Act of Mutiny | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | World Fair | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Middle Market | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunt Ball | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember the Name | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gypsy Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blast Furnace | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Groom | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Houlton | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Empire | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rocket Night | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tom Collins | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skyler’s Artemis | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Ready to Rock | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Real Men Violin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spirit Prince | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Walley World | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fortune Seller | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Right to Vote | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Buffoon (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Numero Seis | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shootoutthelights | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontlookbackatall | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | My Sweet Affair | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Georgees Spirit | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Gibson (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Miss Domina | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Gotta Have Fun (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Obrigada | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Little Prankster | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Golden Dagger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Howzyourcashflow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Blues | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poppy’s Pride | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ensign Parker | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flamingo Hawk | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Sky We Trust | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Air Show | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Cat | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quickflash | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Great Workout | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No More Talk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Winning Drive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | A La Carte | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Abadin | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Durante | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Daufuskie Island | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harrington | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Leddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Tivy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dream Road | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Berning Honor | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jayla | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leadership Ability | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mucho Mama Mia | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pinstripepizzo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Flutie Flakes | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lieutenant’slegacy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | So Are You | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lem Me Drink | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Arisaema | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Outta the Cloud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Samaritan’s Purse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bella Sonadora | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Barb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stone of Destiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lake Placid S.) – Lake Placid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspray | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Sunday | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gloria’s Princess | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prerequisite | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aspray | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surge Capacity | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soviet Excess | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tax Implications (GB) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Junipermarshmallow | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leave No Trace | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Undervalued Asset | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gerrymander | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Misty Veil | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Favor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Take Charge | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nostalgic | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mosienko | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movie Moxy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Battle Bling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randomized | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Randomized | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Wish | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wet Paint | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Defining Purpose | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Julia Shining | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taxed | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gambling Girl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chocolate Gelato | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fireline | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sabra Tuff | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Verbal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm the Court | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whisper Not (GB) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Napoleonic War | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Floki’s Flight | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Harry | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maxwell Esquire | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runningwscissors | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rinaldi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncle Moonlight | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tonal Impact | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Accretive | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Magnolia Midnight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Blue Plate Special | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kern River | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heroneandonly | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Henson | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Petrolo | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Spoofy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Somama Beach | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Impulsive Spending | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Onofrio | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic Arc | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Okaloosa | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Ripe for Mischief | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | It’s Not My Fault | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | War Prince | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Woodside Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kid Emerald | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.