Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Titan | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Nelson | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reminder | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divo d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brawn | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Principle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jake’s Affection | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papalote | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keanu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Badbadbobby | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kinison | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make Decisions | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Fantasy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Spreader | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vito’s Brother | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lighting Clouds | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Toby | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunca Munca | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Preach | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cinzento | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Problem Joe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joe Di Baggio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earth | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sarawat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lee Ann’s Warrior | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sovereign of Speed | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Tom | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nature Boy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watch the Music | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Factor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gooch Go Bragh | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timmy M. | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Cross | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unified Conquest | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Millennium Condo | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Dude | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jigsaw | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arrogancy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Train | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Explosive Runner | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Billy Go | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Chat | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strategy Jak | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheer Coach | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bear Hunt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trust Me | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flag Woman | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mama Maria | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One of One | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Aurora | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | To Thyself B True | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jellicle Katz | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cashier Check | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kartano | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wind Ninety Nine | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Centrodelantero | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volcanic | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wall Street Trader | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bailador | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alasdair | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Light (ARG) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sheer Drama S.) – Sheer Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rosie’s Halo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Adios Jersey | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s Wish | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chick’s Shadow | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Restofthestory | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Race Day Speed | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Principia | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flakes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Areuokwiththis | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Unconcerned | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acquired Taste | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macassa | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Bullet | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romashka | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Force | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amor Victorious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miss Goldie | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai’sdon’tcry | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cryptonaire | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.