Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vivid Dreams | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Special | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Girvina | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corey and Quinn | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crushed Ice | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Time to Dream | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ree | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | White Chocolate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | T Max | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Loca | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Sugar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet as Sugar | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redzilla | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accel Rose | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racing Colors | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Miss San Gabriel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Western Lane | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Judgement Time | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Duckphat | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Pout | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Dontmesswithtess | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mouly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Diamond Status | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Shigeko | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Dashing Della | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | From Hello | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Mysterious Stare | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | River Tay (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miss Our Hero | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Stunningly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Song | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Revolving Credit | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhiannon | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paris Style (FR) | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep It Sexy | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Our Hero | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rayya Valentine | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crupi | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Royal Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paddington | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crupi | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catch That Party | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Danzigwiththestars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hold the Salsa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fighter in the Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Good Medicine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Oglethorpe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Regal Kingdom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nobel (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Knight’s Courage | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Khadullah | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frozen Four | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Mischief | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savage Spirit | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love That Bird | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Knight’s Courage | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eric From Miami | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Witheverything | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mortal Sin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Unaudited | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Senegal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Last Drink | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speed Bias | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Run | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Devil | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Mess | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Costa Terra | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Calling | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Portos | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Skidmore S.) – Skidmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | El Grande O | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ship Cadet | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Otto Go | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sebastian Run | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Antonio of Venice | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seize the Grey | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Billy the Greek | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Untroubled | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five o’ Somewhere | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Factor U and Me In | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jimmythetooth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | No Nay Mets (IRE) | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fandom (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cees Get Degrees | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prisoner | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Farm | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Nation Army | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thinkaboutit | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wendell Fong | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ram | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powerfully Built | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Speight and Malice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rally Squirrel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Factually Correct | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Asymmetric | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Little Maddy Brown | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cut the Cord | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Chase | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sonic Speed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eddie the Great | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Born Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whistler’s Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | American Grant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Newport Bridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Be of Courage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Thethrillofvictory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.