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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, August 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tf Toast to Jess 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Eye Dinozzo 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Best N Class 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Wagon Dashin 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Freddy Separate 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Moons Stone 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Razen Cane 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Vos Candy Prince 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Empowered 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lota Ethics 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Fandemic 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 First Streak Beduino 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lazles Lights 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lil Rider 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Presido Pete 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Bout Ta Learn Yall 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 All the Signs 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Intrinzik 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jesstrong Corona 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dc Fusion 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Ts Eat Dust 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Kt Rapid Fury 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Kt Rapid Repeal 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Trs Justa Crazy Dale 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Racy N Royal 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Gamble With Corona 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scrutinizer 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Discreet Invasion 1.80 1.2 2-1
5 5 Not Rocket Science 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lucky Louie 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gone With the Finn 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kwai Chang 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Daryl’s Bolt 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Itwasthisbig 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 K C Rocket 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Free Maker 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Galactic Empire 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Air Jock 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Defiant Malice 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gracie’s Boy Roy 1.60 1.3 2-1
6 6 Bordinos 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Razor Wire 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ryan’s Wind 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 X Ray Vision 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Franklygreat 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Littlemore Ta Kela 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tap On By 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Tail of Samson 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Eye of the Panthor 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mr Snerdly 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Billy Who 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Love Amplified 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 True Emotion 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 I Bileve 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Petticoat 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Alma’s Princess 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 An Awesome Legacy 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Botita 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Time Machine 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Diamond Rim 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Double Thunder 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Caseys Memory 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ultimate 1.60 2.8 5-1
3 3 Seaside Boy 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 T Bones Trick 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shemeansbizness 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Girls in Charge 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Addababy 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Peggy Rules 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Bug a Boo 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Raisin Raisin 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Bayleywick 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Damascus Gate 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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