Site icon Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Unequivocally 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sound of the Beast 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 King Skull 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Dr Bayter 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Maximatch 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Hermoso Hombre 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 It’s a Hot One 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vladislav 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 You Talkin to Me 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Journeyman 1.40 2.6 5-1
2 2 Executive Search 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Media Sensation 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Souper Legacy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mannix (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Xy Time 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Sun Viking 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 T Ville 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 The Sleepychipmunk 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Swift Kid 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Euphoria Star 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 R Awesome Sauce 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Heart of the Beast 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lte Stark Winter 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Bullet Valentina 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 I Love Ireland 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Subtle Senorita 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Insatiable Eva 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Huge G 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Show Me Love 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Moon Dreaming 30.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Lovely Drama 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 This Run’s for You 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Power Humor 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Rebelde 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Boris 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Diamond Cool 4.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Awesome Flay 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One Smokin’ Rita 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Love Rhapsody 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Marilyn 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lily of Wicklow 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Allons 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Apache Ride 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Twinning N Winning 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bourbon Therapy 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lieutenant Stan 2.50 1.3 2-1
11 11 Midnight Getaway 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Sebaray 30.00 3 6-1
12 12 Wheatsheaf 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Joyful Surprise 20.00 4 8-1
10 10 Tejota 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gotta Like Him 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Capturethelaughter 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Blue Lieutenant 30.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Courageous Copper 4.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Gepard 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 No Deliberation 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Bella 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Empress Ellie 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Alternate Rock 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Coco 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Swoonatra 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Cindylouwho 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Double Cosmo Girl 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Smart Spending 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Proud Man S.) – Proud Man S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Northshore Drive 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gentle Breeze 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Bentornato 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Big Effect 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Keep On Coming 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Divieto 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Reaper 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Prevent 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gitana 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sophia’s Storm 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Awesome Annmarie 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Sandpiper Memories 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Barbara 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ghostly Night 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Kaeko 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Ideal Breeze 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version