Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Emm Ess Eh | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buckin’ Lucky | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viennese Waltz | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enemynumbernine | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey B B | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Severn Spirt | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ballyhoo Prince | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crossland | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosley Natural | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Langlee Avenue | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Strike | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Licorice | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sorolla | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Live Now | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home School | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Federal Offense | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Roan Burgundy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Money Room | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sustenance | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | North Highland | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prins Fire | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Lumpalot | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Last Jumpstart | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bobsworth | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Storming Chrome | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Solomon’s Choice | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Lute | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wired In | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | We Got Lucky | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swing Sammy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Peace | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harness Creek | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Longworth | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Joey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anniesallinclusive | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surf City Gold | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | To Live Is to Love | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Snip the Roses | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Mahomes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Honor | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Warlock | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saloon | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judy’s Army | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quincannon | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disputed Notion | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tina Tina Tina | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peach Tea | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Testament | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talonnade | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ariel Moon | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roanan Goddess | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Determined Blue | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Monster Summer | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robbery | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cundi | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Destin’s Mission | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Pere | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boss Man J J | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monster Mason | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Currency | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brilliant Ice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Freestanding | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marathoner | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spitball | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Benny Havens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frightland | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Trident | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Last Mission | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pudge Boy Palace | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Dream | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dats Mr. Mo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mosler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfectly Golden | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fivecommatwo | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daily Planet | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carmel Sunrise | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cecilita | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proper Storm | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Cajun Lady | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Water | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.