Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rampoldi Plan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bandua | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhebus Road (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neotropic | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Delivers | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cibolian | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Mounte (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Carbon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aeron Warrior | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harlan’s Bond | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Susie’s Saver | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joey the Fish | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Sensation | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Pillbox | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Shigeko | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red Burgundy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Temper | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Kinda Mischief | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play Free Bird | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dorth’s Sol Dancer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Call Her Bluff | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Up | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Disco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lonchura | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Realta | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss d’Or Cherie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Turbo Maggie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic Catch | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 11 | Trident Hit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Costa Terra | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Ouster | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classic Catch | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Tryst | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Moliere | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cross Border | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Corelli | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Tide of the Sea | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Burning Bright | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Dynadrive | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Echo Lake | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Extra Dirty | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zadorsky | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Prospect | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy Cami | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shimmering Allure | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day Away | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bornforgreatness | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Fashion | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Althena | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mia Marcela | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jody’s Pride | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sugar N Spice | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Solve the Puzzle | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Pardon | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Keg | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Cora | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Honey Dijon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Into Stars | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Buttercream Babe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bundchen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Luz Divina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bobby Jean | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reagan’s Version (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Housefly (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Z Train (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Clubhouse | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tommy Gun | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pressure | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Midas | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red D G P | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Asymmetric | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Morning Cup | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hatch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sounds Spooky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raging Sea | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coppa Girl | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pharoah’s Heart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shezz Koldazice | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Happiness | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fancy Azteca | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vienna Code | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In My Opinion | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Willemina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Johnstone Mile H.) – Johnstone Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Betsy Blue | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Louise | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venti Valentine | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timeless Journey | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Audrey | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lt. Mitchell | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morethanafeeling | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Trail | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Refuah | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Z Dancer | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Prince | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Heroneandonly | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Kreesa | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bastion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mugsy Fury | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | The Manticore | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Squid Gamer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tony O | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chulligan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Slapintheface | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Paschal Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.