Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr Laoban | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capt Complicated | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sette Stelle | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Gran Cuyaya | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Charlie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nature Ofthe Beast | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Joe | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finn’s Point | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shaolin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matoula | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lorraine | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rationalmillennial | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merger of Equals | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prussian Blue | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sirenetta | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Save Your Tears | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gilded Ghost | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hopeful Cure | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Magnolia Road | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wine in the Dark | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lilli Rose | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Clear Moment | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Raven | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carbonel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allie’s Halo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cape Neddick | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lifesawindingroad | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Whiskey and Rain | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paul’s Tricky Tale | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winkiwinki | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You’re the One | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Ambition | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap N Glo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Art | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Child Proof | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Candy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| Sea Art | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Appointed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evita | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasured Gem | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invest Wisely | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Compass Rises | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Include the Munny | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sergeant Molly | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gun Runnin’ Gal | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| Brooklyn Girl | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cartwheel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thea’s Theme | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prospera | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liking It Twisted | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leviosa | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calypso Ghost | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valuable Breigh | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosy Apple | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bound by Destiny | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Averie Lynn | 1.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Above the Limit | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Savi | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afandi | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Zeta | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Castilleja | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoshanah | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Still My Babe | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shero | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cora Pearl | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Camp Pendleton | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lifespan | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosmic Treasure | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Ops | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Tin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Fly | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Underdog | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melina’s Dream | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.