Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sanpirodu | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Problem Joe | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flight Catcher | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome for Sure | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Venezuelan Feeling | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mayheminthepalace | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Coast Storm | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Hot One | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hechicero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lil Annie Rose | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shea D Secret | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shes a Gift | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katz That Gal | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Knows It All | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Miss | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catch a Tiger | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improptude | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Take Notes | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magicshadow | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Mo the First | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Abarrio | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Great Illusion | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bigly Deal | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Tower | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ale’s Gift | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Lake | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laila Bella Girl | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Saturn | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hepburn | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Next On Stage | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field of Blossoms | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rose of Tralee | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Singing Sandra | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oaxaca | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solair | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drinks On Me | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shall Return | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Check the Grade | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Outta Here | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Hay Paula | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alexander Helios | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For the Chief | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Stakes | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sara’s Shaman | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gustav | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caspian Sea (GB) | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Fox Hills | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | North Carolina | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Katz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty the Soldier | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ambushed | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pluma Roja | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | On Jet Heir | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Map | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bluto’s Candy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gunman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tepper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alex’s Strike | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Belle | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Kitten | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarawat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Kahn | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Exchange | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Juanito | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Island Magic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Dreamer | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Demurely | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ala Turka | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Temerity | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simplify (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Domineering | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For Ever Ours | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.