Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Imbalance | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Allied Attack | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trade Imbalance | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Gris | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drilling for Gold | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aspenite | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agate Road | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Falfurrias | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walley World | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Innate (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be You | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Just Steel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be You | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Domestic Product | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Locked | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Creek | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pentathlon | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Badlands Ruler | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hamilton’s Way | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ozone | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uno Mas Bourbon | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Victorious Wave | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragtime Blues | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glory Road | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beachwalker | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontbelate | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Sky We Trust | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Zeebear | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Huntsman | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gimmedamoney | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shared Success | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sell Something | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bricco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Speed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ortus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Born Dancer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Whistler’s Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Be of Courage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Be the Boss | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Arm | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thank You Jon | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Safalow’s Mission | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick to Accuse | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two for Charging | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Straight Arrow | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asap Restoration | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asymmetric | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Troy S.) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caravel | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cogburn | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nobals | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Mmmmm | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remuda | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thin White Duke | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ikigai | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grooms All Bizness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Lure S.) – Fasig-tipton Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dakota Gold | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Atlantique | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin’ T | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speaking Scout | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Portfolio Company | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz the Bomb | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mid Day Image | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doctor Davis | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chazzesmee (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Test S.) – Test S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Leaf Mel | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Munnys Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maple Leaf Mel | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Mischievous | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jersey Pearl | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Unhinged | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dorth Vader | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Josie | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Interpolate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Saratoga Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Far Bridge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mondego (GB) | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Webslinger | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Program Trading (GB) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lion of War (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Franchise (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Normandy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aspen Grove (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truly Quality | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Whitney S.) – Whitney S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody’s Wish | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Cody’s Wish | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Cody’s Wish | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charge It | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zandon | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Samurai | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | White Abarrio | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Game | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Everso Mischievous | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Trafalgar | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caramel Chip | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frat Pack | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brew Pub | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad to the Bones | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twelth Man | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Signator | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Bash | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capture the Flag | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beuys (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Ruse | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shutters | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beuys (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drakon | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danzigwiththestars | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fair Dinkum | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Al’s Rocket | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What Say Thee | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hilliard | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alfio | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fighter in the Win | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Whittington Park | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Crupi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Winters Lion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sundaeswithsandy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.