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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kozem 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Umbral 20.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Iron Shield 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Nunofthisnunofthat 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Special Affair 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Queen Honesty 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gran Tricxy 5.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Let’s Go Philly 10.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Crown Jak 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Good Bright Flames 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Win Nay 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gran Roxy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Poseidons Myth 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Il Malandrino 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Sha Tin 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Danley 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Tapintoyourbeer 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Big Bucksalot 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Leopardi 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Preemption 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Elissa Joe 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 True Beast 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Miss Goldie 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Luminant 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Samurai’sdon’tcry 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mrs. Cash Man 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Ghost Force 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 R Harper Rose 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Time Miss 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Haunted 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Etrurian 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Breezey Bella 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dukes Gonna Tapit 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Future Fortune 30.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Gouldian 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Golden Voice 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Runaway Breeze 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Short Circuit 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Radiant Gem 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dancingwthdaffodls 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rubysa 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Winning At Ease 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Domineering 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paralegal 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Manhattan Boy 10.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Raging Fury 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Playing With Fire 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Arrogancy 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Explosive Runner 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Ekati King 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Halon 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Diamond Messa 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Strategy Jak 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Capture the Lion 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wora 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rockin Roller 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Felix 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Barone Cesco 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Loyal Louie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Commandant 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Grand Bey 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Beganingreenpoint 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Vamos Viejo 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Inspired Mischief 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cheerful Charlie 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 No Name Dude 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Avant Glory 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big and Classy 2.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Big Daddy Dave 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cajun’s Magic 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Noble Drama 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Doc Amster 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Black Belt 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mish 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Ny Traffic 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Atalanta Alexandra 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Silvia V’s Heroes 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Teshima 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Tinkatwo 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Broderie 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 My Chutzpah 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Digital Trade 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Dreambigorgohome 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 All Class 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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