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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Seanow 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Lantau 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 The Cairo Kid 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Crownedcountcristo 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Our Hoisted Mast 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mungo Magic 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Strike Me Down 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sweet Beauty 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ballyhooly 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Queen Tapiture 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lady Cage Fighter 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Princess Palmer 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Closertotheheart 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jimmydabook 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Fivecommatwo 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonset 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dowsing Rod 1.80 1.3 3-1
6 6 Bill of Rights 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ryder T 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Surf City Gold 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sweet Syntax 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Odinson 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Zip Line to Heaven 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Sue Loves Barbados 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Royal Spy 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 The Last Scip 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Kobe Tough 3.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 My Boy Paddy 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 R B’s the Boss 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amstrong 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Galerio 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rustys Gfivefifty 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Seiche 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Girl Dad 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Curlin’s Malibu 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Nostalgic Run 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Evenly Divided 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Great Idea 2.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Kenner 6.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Dark and Fitzy 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Ragtime Riches 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Alottacents 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 War and Roses 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Roan Burgundy 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Nick’s Little Boy 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Judy’s Army 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Landon Jack 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 By Its Absence 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Great Heavens 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 The Wolfman 1.40 3.2 6-1
1 1 Find Faith 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Take Charge Too 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Jebologist 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Calming Storm 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Arden’sluckytobe 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hay Chief 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lunar Dash 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Maryland Moon 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Tio Tony 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sneaking Suspicion 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Scorestosettle 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Iron Ranger 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sheriff Ronnie 1.60 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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