Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Claw | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Positively Awesome | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pepe and Heywood | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overbearing | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breithorn | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Caramelo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drone Swarm | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seiver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louise Brooks | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Constitutionalrage | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Jo Jo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Qia | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boardwalk Fries | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Animal Princess | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ariana Valentina | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Model Behavior | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colette’s Spirit | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grass Cutter | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stand United | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Estilo Clasico | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Henry | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elusive Image | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Playboy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catchhimandfreehim | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Rocky Run | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Cod Summer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cup Match | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Big Drama | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seax | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Up for It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delta Charm | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Expectations Met | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Kelly | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apple Shake Shake | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tequesta | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandonarun | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Jelly Bean | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racing | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Slew | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Lov | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Lancer | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wild Army Brat | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lonelyhearts | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blome | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deeds of Love | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodbye Kyle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sansa Ariel | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Wil | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capt. Candy | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Judge and Jury | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bam Bam Blu | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Filigree | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitchen Fire | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nichiren | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Cash | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bomboloni | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sam Stormy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Nottoway | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring River | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Beau | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Litigant | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sutton Valley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Therisastormbrewin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noon Time Gem | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Darnley | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Solution | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shimmering Light | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pointer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Monday’s With Mike | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strong Headed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two by Two | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buffalo Shuffle | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borgobythesea | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Faces | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redeem Eddie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Unity | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jammin Still | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.