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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sky Buy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Good Story 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Aztec Bay 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hey Riri 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Voodoo Priestess 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Midsummer Storm 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Celtic War Cry 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alexis’s Storm 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sure Can 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Murph 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Lovely Liza 1.60 6.2 12-1
4 4 Gatita Suave 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Yooou Know 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Angel Art 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Tritone Gal 8.00 8 15-1
9 9 Lady Mosler 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Under the Overpass 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Passioned 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sir Mason 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hoya 5.00 5 10-1
5 5 Force of Justice 4.50 6.1 12-1
2 2 Masakado 3.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Uncle Chinito 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flight of Bourbon 30.00 1 2-1
6 6 Speed Warning 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Jackson Road 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Victim of the Nite 2.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Practical Sense 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Upsidedown Man 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Great Idea 3.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Switzer 3.50 8.6 16-1
9 9 King of Song 6.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Midnight Cat 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Auntie Rona 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Top Mule 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 I Have Courage 2.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Voodoo Mama Juju 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Shake It Girl 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Chasing Artemis 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 South Pacific 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Savoy 30.00 1 2-1
2 2 Military Hop 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Muchacho Macho 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mystic Link 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Northern Thunder 30.00 4 7-1
7 7 Curlin’s Thrill 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Antipoison 6.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Gallant Gold 15.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Ace Nine Nine 3.50 8.9 17-1
10 10 Mice and Men 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Ekati’s Verve 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Can 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Expect Ours 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Canadian Ginger 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Translate 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Pray for the U S A 30.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Awesome View 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Hot Lookin Royal 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Lady Jean 4.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Trikki Nikki 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Class Actor 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 On the Mark 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Smooth Flyin Mike 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Paradise Valley 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 The Khozan One 3.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Running River 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Collectorate 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Mobeer 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mary Jane Chrome 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Don’t Tell Deren 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Shaolin 1.60 3.5 7-1
1 1 The Haunted Room 3.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Pounding Music 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Mosalah 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 True Blue Pearl 5.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Missawlet 4.50 6.8 13-1
8 8 Racing Colors 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Backstreet Gal 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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