Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Life’s an Audible | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Buchu | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Justdeny | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Miz Sense | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Causeway’s Jewel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Classy Mischief | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spendalot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Smooth Waves | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sands of War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Weigh the Risks | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Golden Ghost (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ozara (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shigeko | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prana | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Save Grace | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maggie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Della | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joey the Fish | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fly Right | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Officer | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Certified Loverboy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Atlantic Dancer | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sedona Red | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Koops | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Arro Smash | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paxsational | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Growth Capital | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Jamestown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Conversing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Torigo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Right to Win (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Obrigada | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carbon | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Icy Reply | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Flame | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Rose | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Poetry | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dolce Sera | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | April Antics | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Yogi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Signal From Noise | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amani’s Image | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fannie and Freddie | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toned Up | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatlovelookslike | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Myriskyaffair | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ever Summer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Talbeyah (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ensemble (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Frivole (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Life Talk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waskesiu | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mugen | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantasmical | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alys Beach | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Cold | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ringy Dingy | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Music | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alamo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jerry the Nipper | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Sonata | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unanimous Consent (GB) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kuramata (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dominican Pioneer | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Main Event | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Easter (FR) | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chulainn | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Field Pass | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starting Over | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rinaldi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Uncle Moonlight | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Safe Conduct | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Commandeer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Warrior Johny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mudville Nine | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rule Breaker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cattani | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just for Luck | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strategyforyou | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leftembehind | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impulsive Spending | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forward Cast | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Utamaro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Marty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bowling Green S.) – Bowling Green S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Cliff | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Channel Maker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Highest Honors | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Verstappen | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Grey Wizard (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tawny Port | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never Explain | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Channel Maker | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rebel’s Romance (IRE) | 1.60 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daunt | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Quality | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quiescent | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Little Prankster | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risk Free | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riviere | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brooklyn Girlee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allegedly | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrasou | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Material Witness | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frau Diablo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dark Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spun Special | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Going the Distance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oolong Hai (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.