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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 B West 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Zen Master 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Hellman 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Charming Way 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Grand Escape 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Luv Ya Bye Bye 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Abuelo Paps 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Phra Phrom 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Abidale 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Gennie Highway 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Red Wind 2.00 4 8-1
3 2 Tout Ensemble 30.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bramble Bush 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Winter Princess 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 11 Cupids Dream 8.00 5.7 11-1
1A 10 Chelsea Wall 0.80 7.4 14-1
9 9 Instinctive 6.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Princess Javoncia 3.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Call On Clara 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Rock Rose 3.50 1 2-1
1A 5 Lady Zeta 1.60 4.2 8-1
1 4 Paper Mansion 1.60 4.4 8-1
3 2 My Flicker 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 7 Combat Queen 2.50 5 9-1
5 6 Awesome View 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Canoodle 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Boat’s a Rockin 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Zyramid 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Kadri 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Smithwick’s Spice 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Embolden 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hunter Joe 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Showtime Cat 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Distant Fire 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Austin From Boston 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Spunky Irishman 15.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Stormy Fire 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Toast to Coast 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Prins Fire 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Scat Danz 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Noble River 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 On the Engine 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 My Boy Colton 4.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Food Foodie 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Seville Row 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Prince of Caps 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Bee Major 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Lookin for Justice 3.50 6.6 13-1
1 1 Neverfold 3.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Bode Lynx 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Grecian Pharoah 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Air Token 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Full Authority 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ladneedsahandler 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Cynergy’s Star 2.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Magic Mule 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Whiskey and You 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Where Paradise Lay 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Ensign 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Candy Coop 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ginger Girl 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Chalice 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Kentucky Reign 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Always Forward 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 I’m Pretty 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Ganbatte 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Cookie Bank 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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