Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corruption | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carson’s Run | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yaqui Valley | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frontline Warrior | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modica | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrock Shake | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trade Imbalance | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Joey Freshwater | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Floki’s Flight | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Osbourne | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Scocciatore | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Journey | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 5 | My Harbors Dream | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Saffa’s Day | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | High Oak | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kbcya Later | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isocline | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devils Only Friend | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Warrior | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hatch | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volkert | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Terminator | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Conejito | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Excess Demand | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe’s Dream | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starrystarryknight | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Morning Cup | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dads Good Runner | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Modern Midas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mooney Mooney | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party At Grants | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Souper Tropical | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Graceful | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Best Coast | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Souper Slews Cash | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Cherokee Cottage | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatic Effect | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ratified | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Corner Kick | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Keep It Sexy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Time to Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Good Sam | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ontheonesandtwos | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You Look Cold | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sterling Silver | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy in the Sky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Born Dapper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bomb Squad | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Splendid One | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starts Now | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Splashy | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’s a Natural | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shine My Tiara | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Autumn | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sail With the Wind | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | North End Lady | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Laoban | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Overacting | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Benevolently | 50.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Foxy Cara | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Roagna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 14 | Dream On Cara | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Skip the Line | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll Please | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lambo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Empire | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Global Perspective | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Playground | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dornoch | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Houlton | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Desire | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seize the Grey | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Act of Mutiny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hurricane Nelson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Alfred G. Vanderbilt H.) – Alfred G. Vanderbilt H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gunite | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elite Power | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dean Delivers | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun It | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Vic | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Synthesis | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Aaron | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 13 | Absinthe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | New Ginya | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | She Caught My Eye | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Hands | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Tough Street | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mariah’s Appeal | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spungie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 14 | Suspended Campaign | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Get Your Kicks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Miss Kristy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Candle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Fine Whining | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | You Gotta Have Fun (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bolivie (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Jim Dandy S. Presented By Dk Horse) – Jim Dandy S. Presented By Dk Horse
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saudi Crown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forte | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel of Empire | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disarm | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit Show | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sandy’s Garden | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kerry | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Dancer | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sikum | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer At the Spa | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Chrome | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | I’m Nervous Now | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bunty Windermere | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Liberty Flame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Busy Morning | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Act of Congress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fancypants Juliana | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Snowy Evening | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | In Good Trouble | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tawaret | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Callie’s Grit | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Mo Bubbly | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bel Rosso | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southampton Dock | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Duke Girls | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fizzy | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Machiavellique | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laserjet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sri Lanka | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Heavenly Appointed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Libretto (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.