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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aesthetically 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 U S Constitution 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Gunslinger (IRE) 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Guillaume 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Brilliant Chase 4.50 3.8 7-1
11 11 Samui Sunset 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Curlin’s Malibu 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Bob Marco 2.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Johng 10.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Super E 5.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Sir Terre 3.50 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pompous Prince 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shackinthebox 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Island d’Lite 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sir Smoak 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Street Hustle 1.80 4.9 9-1
1 1 Sponsored 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Carbonite 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uncaptured Storm 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hop and Scotch 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Wonder Water 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Polsar 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 He’s On Fire 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Orocovix 3.50 7 13-1
1 1 Salty Heir 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Notion to Tapit 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Tyler Time 20.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Superstitieux 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Miss Disco S.) – Miss Disco S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Malibu Moonshine 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Precious Avary 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Fast Tracked 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Liquidator 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Talk to the Judge 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Rowsie Express 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Willful Desire 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Solving Progress 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Star De Naskra S.) – Star De Naskra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Freeze the Fire 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 It’s Viper 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Easy Action 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Parkerness 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Coffeewithchris 3.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Feeling Woozy 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Super Accelerate 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Great Heavens 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Tiz No Clown 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 New York Panther 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bonded 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Daredavite 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Invective 4.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Mr. Shades of Gray 2.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Hellman 2.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Northern Tick Tock 8.00 8.7 17-1
11 11 Reconvene 3.00 9 17-1
9 9 Southpaw Mike 12.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Unorthodox 20.00 11 21-1
1 1 Summer Silence 6.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Bee Major 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Deputed Testamony S.) – Deputed Testamony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nimitz Class 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Be Better 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Ridin With Biden 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Ournationonparade 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Wish for Peace 30.00 4 8-1
5 5 Yodel E. A. Who 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mischief Afoot 8.00 4.7 9-1
Be Better 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Alma North S.) – Alma North S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princess Kokachin 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gunning 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Street Lute 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Beguine 2.00 5 9-1
7 7 Dreamster 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Six the Hard Way 50.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Response Time 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Sweet Gracie 30.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Moody Woman 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wondrwherecraigis 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lightening Larry 1.60 4.6 9-1
3 3 Synthesis 2.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Holy Synchronicity 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Threes Over Deuces 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Sir Wellington 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Ladneedsahandler 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Star Shopping 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stimulus Maker 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Inside Stunt 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bowie Two Step 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Scotty Brown 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Luv Ya Bye Bye 20.00 5 10-1
2 2 Claudee Boy 3.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Speakerit 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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