Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Away | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Split Strike | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief Joke | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love That Bird | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aggelos the Great | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ez Roll | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jake’s Orchard | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eric From Miami | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mithridates | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Angelo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comedy Town | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fluid Situation | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into the Sunrise | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fauci | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artemus Citylimits | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Scocciatore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Guntown | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Boss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | My Harbors Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Looms Boldly | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dream Fly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Catskill Humor | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Katie’s Checkride | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nursekringledances | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | St. Benedicts Prep | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Tay (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Girl | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Volatility | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Lookinforbargains | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Graceful | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Trope | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Party At Grants | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Paris Style (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quick Munny | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Indra | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hydra | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Stare Down | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Buzzy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Customerexperience | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everyoneloveslinda | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Triple P | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Wife | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kaz Palace | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beta | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colloquy | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Heights | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son of an Ex | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ach Du Lieber | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sounds Spooky | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Marbooz | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swore | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Toofareastiswest | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swore | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pilkington | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Rhyme | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Typhoon Lagoon | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Guess | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asthros | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Uncle | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Well | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faraday | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Feathers Road | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Mischief | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Maddy Brown | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Settle’s Dream | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disarmed | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honor Among Men | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courageoous Oh La | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kreesa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burn Jakey Burn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brennan’s War | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Huntsman | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zeebear | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Camm’ Duke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Street Swagg | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Cay | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Run | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sound Doctrine | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prove Right | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dangerous Ride | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Richard | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joking Way | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trouble | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gamer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fredo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Giant | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ski Patrol | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aruba | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harry Hood | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Abarrio | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acamar | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stjames | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Morning Cup | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Modern Midas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Money Supply | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Amsterdam S.) – Amsterdam S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Drew’s Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New York Thunder | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gilmore | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryvit | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deer District | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joey Freshwater | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Urgent Fury | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Boat to Skye | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Larry | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Variable Cost (GB) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Express | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nostalgic One | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timo | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Highest Rated (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sixwillberich | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Moore | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fire Baron | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lastly | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vigano | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fighting Back | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.