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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lost City 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Can’t Be Broken 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Nyquest Nix 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Gary’s Flying Lion 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Secret Soldier 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sergeant Sinatra 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Tapit’s Direction 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Miro 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jigsaw 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Reminder 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 The Honeyman 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Full Nelson 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Karaoke 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Okiro 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Beautiful Janet 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Improptude 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hard to Fathom 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Media Sensation 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Kinison 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Papa Katz 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Truth and Honesty 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Artico 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cool Memory 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Immense Faith 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Organist 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Vanishing Interest 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Classic Mo Town 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Belly of Jelly 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Riverboat Richie 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Straight Shot 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Toretto 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Eternal Flame 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Elusive Mischief 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Lunar Rocket 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Forty Flash 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Thenorthremembers 4.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Attentive 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Montana Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chrome Ghost 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mighty Miracle 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Rigel 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Mr. Rhodium 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Chaina 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Don’t Answer 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Red Dog 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Las Olas 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Drum Roll 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Vai Bella 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Chloe’s Toy 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fortuna Belle 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 My Lady James 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 No Action 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Action Rose 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thank the Academy 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Overrun 20.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sophia Lauren 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Wildcat Lunita 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Sharp Pippa 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Exageradora 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 A J’s Memory 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Sprint Breaker 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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