Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Looks First | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makia | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katherine Thomas | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appellate | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Justify | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Underthemistletoe | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Palms | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Princess | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snow Dance | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sintra | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Buchu | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Justdeny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Causeway’s Jewel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slip Mahoney | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leddy | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Set Sail | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Secret | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mount Up | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Ghent | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Palace Gossip | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fontanafredda | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Mary | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Whirl | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsakeyper | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diva Banker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Get the Candy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amanda’s Folly | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Shuvee S.) – Shuvee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nest | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Nest | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clairiere | 0.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skratch Kat | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Printrack | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Two Zone | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spankhurst | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy’s Pride | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Now | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Drive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Durkin’s Call | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alcools | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mystical Chant | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love to Eat | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sam’s Treasure | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Camera | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonial Rose | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creditor | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Life’s Joy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Lover | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Princess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ilikeitlikethat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ringy Dingy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Bowman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Captain | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caramel Chip | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Demon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Tryst | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amani’s Eagle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Glory Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Float On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lord Gatling | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | R Calli Kim | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Annie | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tass | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peace Seeker | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linny Kate | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Peridot | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Odor | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cafe Fleur (FR) | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackie the Joker | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | With This Vow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blue Times | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Majority Partner | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean’s Reserve | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andiamo a Firenze | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Engine | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Alert | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thrill of It | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scilly Cay | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Writer’s Regret | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Three Girls | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dance With Me Babe | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Butterfly | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Banker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daddyslilbosslady | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roxen | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lakeside Getaway | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | My Cara Mia Mine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gotham Gray | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Giggling Ghost | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Never Personal | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | True Martini | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dreaming of Carli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Galatrona | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Dream On Cara | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.