Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Llamarada | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demar’s Legacy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Guacamole | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaitie Kait | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bigbouquetofroses | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miguel’s Belle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sayely | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Next On Stage | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Demogorgon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Colors | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Franc (FR) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love My Job | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Factor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapple Cider | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Disco Queen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Domineering | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Nasty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katiesdreamgirl | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger Sparkle | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mudshaft | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Provocativa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | On Alert | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fish Mooney | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Agenda | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tamarindo | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cindylouwho | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irazu | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Spending | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensitivity | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Girl Bye | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Win Dixie Ronnie | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Encounter | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amor Y Control | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Journey | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Velocissima | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tayyara | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Aria | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Action Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Data | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loco Abarrio | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Peeks | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knox | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Run’s for You | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tigre | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hope in Him | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle B | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Juanito | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Competitive Saint | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Search | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sigiloso | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ember | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ambor Night | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Tiger | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volcanic | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Mar | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surrogate | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Anthony | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mutaawid | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monforte | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Acquired Taste | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Martini’s Amica | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Areuokwiththis | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost Force | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Goldie | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Biotechnology | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lte Stark Winter | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luminant | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amarula Sun | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.