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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Charismatic 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 The Hammer 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Im Jess an Angel 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Starrdust 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Relentless Jewell 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Impossible to Ignore 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Surprise 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Flashin My Moons 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shes Prime 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ima Fabulous Hero 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Big Dreamer 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Thystle Hille 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 All the Signs 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Paradise Wagon Hcs 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 First Streak Beduino 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Professor T 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lavish One 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Just Tell Jess 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 My Valiants Fire 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Utah Beach 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wb Dashing Brat 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oscar Winner Wally 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Not Rocket Science 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sailor Chow 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lucky Louie 2.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Barstow 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Higher Authority 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colonel Klink 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tizhotndusty 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Pop’s Biscuit 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Heritage Park 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 New Stripe 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Heza Wild Ride 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mollies Rocket 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Time Goes On 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sir Wally Wally 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Warrior’s Run 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Woke Up in Love 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Minecraft Maniac 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kissed a Cadet 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Nice One Julio 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Strollin Norman B 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 D D’s Legacy 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Can’t Be Caught 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 D’s Mic Drop 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Makemeabeliever 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 K C Rocket 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Husker Butch 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Gem Collection 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lea Me Be 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Halo Moon 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Nightwind 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Hoppin John 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Stallion S.) – Iowa Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Luke 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Palace Guard 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Espe’s Guy 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Shouldaboughtdabar 1.80 5.2 10-1
1 1 C R Insta Gator 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Cinco de Mo 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tapicita 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lori’s Eyes 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Pink Party Pants 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Diamond of Ekati 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sweet Holiness 3.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Wumpmug 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Power to Play 4.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Spitfire Suzie 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Eurowendi 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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