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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Macassa 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hustle Queen 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Graytana 4.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Mad Madame Mim (IRE) 3.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Secret of Saratoga 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Always Connected 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Kingdom’s Spirit 30.00 7 13-1
8 8 Insatiable Eva 30.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Our La Dolce Vita 30.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 J J Monet 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Ghost Force 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Luminant 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Miss Goldie 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Biotechnology 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Areuokwiththis 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Acquired Taste 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sterling Harmony 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Capture the Lion 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Loyal Louie 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Eightninego 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Denying 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Free Smoke 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shake Up 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Geothermal 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Great Kostas 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Nico’s Having Fun 12.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Sir Austin 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Norfie 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Emergency Response 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tik Tokable 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Firecrow 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Pure Speight 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 He’s in Charge 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Joe Di Baggio 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Frenchmen Street 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Earth 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Old Town Road 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Assertiko 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Lee Ann’s Warrior 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 On Jet Heir 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grand Valley 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Midnight Chaos 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Wheatsheaf 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Gotta Like Him 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Midnight Getaway 3.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Blue Lieutenant 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Joyful Surprise 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Tejota 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Fast Fixer 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Khoolzan 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Effect 1.60 1.7 3-1
5 5 Awesome Train 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ali’i Nui 20.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Titan 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Magicshadow 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Vito’s Brother 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Arrogancy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fly the W 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Starship Wizard 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Chapalu 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Wind Ninety Nine 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Souper Legacy 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Uncle Armando 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 The Best Distance 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Mannix (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Second I D 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Slim Slow Slider 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Diamond Cool 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Desert Ruler 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Tiger 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Nic’s Bro 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tigre 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Loco Abarrio 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Quincy Cafe 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Azalea S.) – Azalea S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flakes 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Trust Me 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Charlie’s Wish 1.60 2.4 5-1
8 8 Kikilove 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Principia 30.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Jellicle Katz 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Just Mercy 30.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 One of One 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Antillean 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Love Spell 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Doc Ballard 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Cash It 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Subtle Faith 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Handsome Todd 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Fun American 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Street Cop Officer 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Noble Attitude 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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