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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hard Rock Candy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Surprise Party 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Torts On a Wagon 1.80 2.4 5-1
1 1 One Kissin Sweetie 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sfs Happy Tail 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sweet Candy Lips 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 That Reckless Pete 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ncc Cherry Bottom 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Marfa Rocks 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hell On Your Heels 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Gal With Authority 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Blazin Hot Kat 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Perrysfirstmoonflash 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ts Lil Cash 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Ts Attack the End 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Going Up the Country 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Badrapidfastcat 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Rm Crushonivory 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Glamorous Life 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Champagne Bling 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Jack’s Party Girl 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Jazz Brunch 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Reina Del Sur 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Javistha 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ships On Fire 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bread Winner 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Wicked Prince 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Free Maker 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Cybertown 2.00 5 9-1
3 3 Air Jock 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Little Tap Dancer 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mitole’s Legacy 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Spangle 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Can’t Want That 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Kant Resist It 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Wild Bout Hilary 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Rita’s Revenge 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cupids Sweety 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shezawildstorm 3.00 1.9 3-1
9 9 Classic Cash 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Jaydensqueenoharts 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Lucys Stroll 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 That’s Our Vision 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Quiet I’m Not 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Supine Duchess 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Beautifly Troubl’d 6.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Natusia 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flat Out Rose 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dreaminonthenile 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Garbo Speaks 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Kasa 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Confetti Betty 2.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Risky Whisky 4.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Shelby To 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Stallion Filly S.) – Iowa Stallion Filly S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Perfect Wish 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tara’s Time 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 My Happiness 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dial Sum In 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lavender Lil 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Reason Over Riches 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Witsec 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Our Davina 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Interstella 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kela’s Turn 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bossy Moment 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Angel’s Melody 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Miss Peach 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Just Like Trista 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Flat Out Stormin 3.50 6.1 11-1
7 7 Kayla 4.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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