Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jones Falls | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cypres Station | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Espresso Lungo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Prendergast | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Slick Nick | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Not a Baby | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Ghost | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Free Admission | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lily Mor | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucina | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Lexi | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jane Street | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | No Sharing | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gazalani | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ginamaya | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mashua | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Always Forward | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dancinonthebeach | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spun in a Million | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Forloveofcountry | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shady Munni | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Northern Thunder | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Up Against It | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galatians | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Hurricane Highway | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | American Unity | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Box N Ben | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lunar Dash | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Down Express | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pay Zone | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Surprise Hello | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Bastogne | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calming Storm | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harness Creek | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meno | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lil Buddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fire and Knives | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eldest Son | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Jake | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodafternoonoscar | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Easy Days | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York Panther | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Secret | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lamarvelous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Devil Pays in Gold | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fivecommatwo | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ramadhaan (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Tapiture | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isabella’s Glory | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashionista | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Antietam | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Murph | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Corinna | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Will Or Won’t | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mosler | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfectly Golden | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stormin’ Amanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidator | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Liquidator | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Georgie | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Clouds | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hidewright Away | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Malibu | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Shugs | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shofar | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Mad | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | God Is Love | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fermat | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resident Liberal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sir Terre | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tijuana Brass | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cartwheel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequila Fog | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esperannna | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Temper | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Is Strong | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Floating By | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Time Vixen | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.