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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shez Going My Way 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bout Ta Learn Yall 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mynte Juleppe 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Xf Mariahs Delight 1.80 3.4 6-1
6 6 Wr Mafia Princesa 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Skipp to My Lew 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tinys First Cowboy 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Atsi Speedwagon 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Paint Me Downhill 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Icon Doit 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bv Miss Mona 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Ungawa 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rnc Cardshark Jones 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pjs Power Play 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Holy Storm 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Katch This Eagle 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Hasta Be a Moose 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Jess Eye On Fire 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just for Kixx 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ts Another Aquaflash 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Miss Jessita 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gamble With Corona 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Andori 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Rm Raisethebar 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kt Shelia Cartel 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Call It Corona 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Trs Jessbeen Trumped 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Casanovas Racy Miss 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pizza Charlie 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Panzer Pride 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Riversport 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dodger Blue 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Meet George Jetson 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Brahms Jr. 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Impressor 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 All Over Oliver 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Mo Choctaw 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Strings 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 R Serengeti 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 K C’s First B M W 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Explosive Pride 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Whonew 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Brilliant Colors 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Super Empire 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Do You Bileve 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Stonecold Stunner 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Marina’s Gold 1.80 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sugar Bell 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Midnightcandystorm 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gracie’s Boy Roy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Bordinos 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bell Dozer 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mr. Benny 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Run Fire Run 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Don Juan Bubba 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 General Shipman 12.00 8 15-1
8 8 King of the Palace 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Ryan’s Wind 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Adair County 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Expound 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Defiant Malice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 War Ron 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tin Badge 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Say It Nicely 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Discreet Invasion 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Gone With the Finn 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Dot Com Dreamin 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cobymeister 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Nasty Exaggerator 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Not Rocket Science 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Redneckerthanyou 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Annual Budget 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Succession 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 He’s a Showboat 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Leading the Cause 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 On a Dare 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Cheets 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 C R Insta Gator 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky Ain’t Enough 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Franklygreat 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Madethedean’slist 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 County Jail 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Billy Bob Rocket 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lets Rock N Stroll 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Tactical Rebel 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Edgy Lover 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Glome 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Dirt Road Cowboy 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Eye of the Panthor 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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