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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Call a Runaway 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Officer Smith 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Ab Boogie 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Oughta B Behind Bars 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Angies Angell 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Just Bein Lippy 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tilucant 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Charlies Politician 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Idtakeherforaride 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Freedom Speaks 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Love This Heart 2.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Kory Be Kool 3.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Suzys Light 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Rock My Country 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Philosophos 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Nsm Snickers 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Shakalah 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Fyne Whyte Lynes 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Tdz Tempting Sugar 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Dangerous Empress 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Be Sincere 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hop Away Hottie 4.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Molly Bye O 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Kamea 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Blitzed 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Can’t Make Me 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 It’s All About Joe 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Uncle Chad 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Colorful Native 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Munnycantbuymelove 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 A Brush of Luck 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Just Johnny 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Be My Huckleberry 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Love Amplified 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Free Will 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kona Konnect 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Dalusia 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Czechitout 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Davidic Line 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bumperdoo 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Megatap 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Hard Attack 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Broadway Pete 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Seaside Boy 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Canadian Game 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rockets Sister 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Luckyhotstuff 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Add It All Up 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ourpeppermintcandy 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Batter Up Betty 2.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Archaic 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Allen’s Rocket 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Allo Enry 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Big Pines Sandy 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Whiskey Wednesday 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mahomes 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Running Alex’sband 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Backgate Red 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 True Emotion 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Jill’s Lemon Drop 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kirby Kaye 12.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Delta Moon 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lucky Gin 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hoodwicked 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Botita 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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