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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marvelette 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Palacsinta 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Cush Effect 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Irish Mirage 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Irish Zapper 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Modern Society 30.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ellymarie 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Tres Maria’s Dream 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Morethanreadyeddie 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Landon Jack 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 By Its Absence 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Violent Rock 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Judy’s Army 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Rascally Rebel 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Bandits Heart 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnight Cat 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wish Me Home 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Tulchan 5.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Opposites Attract 15.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Silk War 15.00 4 7-1
1 1 Romp 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Hardspun Reason 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 The Last Scip 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Sea Ghost 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Wicked Finn 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Award Nominated 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 No Easy Days 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Vax a Nation 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wild Behavior 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 He’s Incredible 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 His Name Is Sue 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Charge to Victory 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Spotted Bull 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 The Cairo Kid 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Savoy 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Remembering Wilbur 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Free Square 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Big Dreyfus S.) – Big Dreyfus S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sparkle Blue 0 0-1
3 3 Sparkle Blue 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Atomic Blonde (GER) 1.80 3.7 7-1
7 7 Deciding Vote 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Coconut Cake 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Candy Light 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Lady Puchi 30.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Community Adjusted 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cupid’s Strike 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Alliallioxenfree 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Sweet Beauty 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Skylar’s Sister 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Genieinabridle 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Black Diamond Rain 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Mysisternancy 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Tritone Gal 5.00 6 11-1
9 9 Donna’s Courage 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Irish Valentine 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Thunder Boss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Prince George’s County S.) – Prince George’s County S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Royal Patronage (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Pao Alto (FR) 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sky’s Not Falling 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Eons 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Beacon Hill 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Camp Hope 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Royne 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tiz the Bomb 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Caesar’s Wish S.) – Caesar’s Wish S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Intrepid Daydream 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Award Wanted 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Cashing Big Checks 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hybrid Eclipse 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Misty Mauve 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Deco Strong 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zip Line to Heaven 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Boss Man J J 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Kobe Tough 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Arden’sluckytobe 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Tall Order 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tenax 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 B Determined 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Odinson 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Upsidedown Man 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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