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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Six Whips 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Luckily Leyton 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Big Rowdy Dan 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Silver R 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Saafen 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Edmund Fitzgerald 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Box Office Warrior 1.50 1 2-1
5 5 Irish Kitten 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Grecian Pharoah 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Papa Jimmy 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Honor My World 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Distorted Times 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Boom Boom Kaboom 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Prayer Book 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prince Fred 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rubys Flash 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Play Hard 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Taporical 8.00 4 7-1
7 7 Kick Startness 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Third City 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Mithridates 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Christiana S.) – Christiana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Riddler 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Sabalenka 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Hang the Moon 2.00 4 8-1
4 4 Thirty Thou Kelvin 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Faccia Bella 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Gatita Suave 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Respectfully 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Waterworks 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Carroll Girl 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Peppermint Class 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Six the Hard Way 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Ragtime Belle 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kenner 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 The Great Gazoo 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Kitten Around 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Eye On the Candy 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Sigmund 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bold Licorice 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Joe Brains 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ghost of Khozan 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Prophets Voice (IRE) 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Andrez Conquist 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Alvy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Passage of Lines 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Burgee 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ain’t Wasting Time 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 My Danny Boy 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Stonecoldwarrior 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Stacks of Silver 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 El de Chimi 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Kent S.) – Kent S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ocean City 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Really Good 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Phileas Fogg 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Freedom Trail 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Regal Kingdom 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Tee At One 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Love Me Not 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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