Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Watch Me Disappear | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And Whistle | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame Catalaya | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spencerian | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Have Courage | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closertotheheart | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Mule | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fivecommatwo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon Ready | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Ship the Goods | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Ready | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inevtabl Conection | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maya Prince | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Shopping | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R B’s the Boss | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Science (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sainthoodforbrian | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bowie Two Step | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boss Man J J | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pudge Boy Palace | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Step Ahead | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Granville’s Garden | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Full | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Live Now | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Coast | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobsworth | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surf City Gold | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chromeplated Heart | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Serenity | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poggibonsi | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Shaughesey | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patty Cakes | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Killy Start | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Cube Baby | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lola Flo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Buckin’ Great | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emm Ess Eh | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Chick | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ariel Moon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buckin’ Lucky | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determined Blue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Any Fools Gold | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cundi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tequilera | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Eidikos (GB) | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Digging Broad | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gals Gal | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She Is Wisky | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daily Planet | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Naval Empire | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amplio Esquema | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nicolar | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Memphis Showboat | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Youens | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Italian Dressing | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’sarollingstone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Transparency | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chorus Girl | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Determined Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Street Tough | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Give It a Whirl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedyness | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Low Mileage | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kristinachrysalis | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surfboard | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty the Giant | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Prankster | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | You Must Chill | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plot the Dots | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tom Hagen | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Addison Pour | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Back | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Copper | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wow Whata Summer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Curlin’s Malibu | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youngest of Five | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Boss Logic | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | One Ten | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gran Andrews | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Walk Away Joe | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Never Change | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Badger Tooth | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unequivocal | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot Themessenger | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erawan | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hayne’s Fever | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Hoisted Mast | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy King | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.