Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Cross | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Sugar N Spice | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil At Midnight | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exhilarate | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Natty Patty | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Cross | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dorothy’s Dreams | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Picasita | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Starship | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Drink the Wind | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zertz | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Quartet | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean (AUS) | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moliere | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spun Special | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doral | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Performer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Free | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Positive Message (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party Is Over | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empathy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romeinaday | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Portage | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bouncer | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Return the Ring | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leddy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Cat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | On the Come Up | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fenwick | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Suburban S.) – Suburban S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charge It | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonal Impact | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Bomber | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clapton | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Run | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Rags | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loon Cry | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Dancer | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Power Nap | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sikum | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Longlive the Queen | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Nervous Now | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ranting | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Monet | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robyn and Eli | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kreesa La Wrote | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Towering Gaze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Stones | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majority Partner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vittorio | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dot’s Dollar | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twenty Four Mamba | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sagamore Mischief | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Milton the Monster | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Business Model | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Aspen Grove (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission of Joy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papilio (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prerequisite | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aspray | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speirling Beag (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strikingly Spun | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Inflation Nation (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Edge | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drakon | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Vector | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Appraise (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Famous Gent | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Soulmate | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aruba | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carpe’s Dream | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What Say Thee | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Air Show | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Twelth Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sosua Summer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Derby Invitational S.) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | The Foxes (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kalik | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Far Bridge | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wizard of Westwood | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Webslinger | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mondego (GB) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mendelssohns March | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Ninja | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boppy O | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Knott (GB) | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Redistricting (GB) | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Victory Ride S.) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maple Leaf Mel | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Carpet Ready | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Blue | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Downtown Mischief | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Interpolate | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Topsy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vahva | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adeliese’s Smile | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Strong Mama | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Boston Strong Mama | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Blue Plate Special | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Heroneandonly | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Screw Loose | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kern River | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leftembehind | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reap What You Sow | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Bank | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Jakey Burn | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Not My Fault | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sinaloa | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boston Strong Mama | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gio’s Majesticness | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onofrio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Strategyforyou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | War Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Uncle Marty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.