Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | El Grande O | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmythetooth | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skyler’s Starship | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Specialagentjonson | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perliano | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Preacher | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Amour | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sebastianthe First | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smooth Waves | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Permed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Fire | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Dancer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Ray D. | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isn’t She Khozy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Spin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greavette | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goats On a Tree | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Waves | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talavera | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dorothy’s Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gala Brand | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Fancy Joke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Backed by Gold | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Security Code | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Happy Sophia | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Fist | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Ok Honey | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Vallelujah | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sundaeswithsandy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Pharoahs | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Dragon | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bobby | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Alert | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Dreams | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nobilis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thank You Jon | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seize the City | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chalky Cat | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Vine | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tip of the Boot | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin’ to Win | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Sonny | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maxwell Esquire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pine Knoll | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | After Five | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senbei | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Me a Check | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paros | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scocciatore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Momos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Guntown | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fly Right | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Quality | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whenlovetakesover | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Headline News | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Locke and Key | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nostalgic One | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swore | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Fluorescent Bay | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mugsy Fury | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Guess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devil’s Cay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Moving Pictures | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Cay | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makar | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Playingwithmatches | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pressure | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Good Runner | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginnsu Warrior | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Chalice | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotto | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Manila S.) – Manila S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Major Dude | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nagirroc | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talk of the Nation | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belouni (FR) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amstrong | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Than Looks | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Kona | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Activist Investing (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Whiskey Lullaby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Financial Advice (FR) | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom for All | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Status | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cant Keep Me Down | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volatility | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Meow Meow Hiss | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Tell Amy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katie’s Checkride | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicksiepixie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Respect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Party At Grants | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.