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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Roses for Debra 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Mail Order 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Adaay In Asia (GB) 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sister Annie 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Majestic d’Oro 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Edie Meeny Miny Mo 1.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lexi’s Spirit 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Nightsaber (GB) 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Solevo Spritz 20.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Just a Splash (IRE) 5.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Fancy Stax 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Wonder Girl 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Belleshazza 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Keep It Sexy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Graceful 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mooney Mooney 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Party At Grants 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Reigning Chick 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sweetie 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Racing Colors 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 April Antics 2.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Duckphat 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Valenzan Day 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cheeky Tico 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Blu Grotto 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Cumberland Blues 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Bert Bert Bert 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Union Lights 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Super Quality 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Strictly Taboo 3.50 1 2-1
6 5 Splashy 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Spinning Colors 10.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Cerretta 6.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Maya’s Dream 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Silent Melody 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Pinstripepizzo 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 10 Dream On Cara 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Three Cups Full 15.00 5 9-1
12 12 She’s a Natural 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Shelly 4.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Shine My Tiara 15.00 8.7 16-1
1A 15 Foxy Cara 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stone of Destiny 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ichiban 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
0 0-1
5 5 Safalow’s Mission 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pineapple Man 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Colloquy 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Drake’s Passage 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Lucky Lucky Luke 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Achilles Heel 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Cicciobello 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Son of an Ex 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Baltasar 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Leonids 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Improper 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ice Road 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Magical Ways 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Life and Light 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Skylander 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Red D G P 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Hudson Valley S.) – Hudson Valley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cold Hard Cash 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jerry the Nipper 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Somelikeithotbrown 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Call Me Harry 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Hush of a Storm 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Dakota Gold 2.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Ruse 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Bankit 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dr Ardito 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Senbei 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Who Hoo Thats Me 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Conquist 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Over the Cap 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Zapruder 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Barry the Builder 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Maythisbetheone 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Impazible Prince 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Social Sidekick 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Big Boulder 8.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 In My Shadow 20.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Kid Emerald 15.00 10.5 20-1
16 16 A Lister 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bad Larry 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Atlanta’s Acuna 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wayward Ghost 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hari 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Waflr 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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