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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Collect From Ike 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rockstar Red 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Theregoesmymiracle 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Steady Scheming 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Wisecraken 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Shakin the Belle 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Elevated Causeway 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Interchanger 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sweet Mystery 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 My First Love 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mia Bea Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Amanda’s Folly 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Cinderella’s Cause 2.00 5 9-1
5 5 Vallarand 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Perfect Sting S.) – Perfect Sting S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Technical Analysis (IRE) 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Haughty 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Evvie Jets 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Tic Tic Tic Boom 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Customer List (FR) 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fancy Azteca 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Candy Caramel 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Girl Afraid 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Luna Loca 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Baby Sox 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Vax 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tribal Queen 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Be Best 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Souffle 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lady Fortuna 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 She Slays 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Unholy 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Shotgun Patsy 2.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Island Rose 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Clear Conscience 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Noble Huntsman 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Barrel of Quests 8.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Sell Something 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 King of Comedy 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Provision 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Open Til Midnight 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Whistler’s Honor 4.50 4 8-1
9 9 Blame It On Daddy 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Jackson Heights 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Lucky Lucky Luke 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Snow Loves a Fight 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Divine Wine 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Sister Nell 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Rosemary Potatoes 15.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bernt Again 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Frosty Invasion 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Susie’s Saver 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Caironi 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Carbon 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Dolce Sera 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
No More Talk 0 0-1
6 6 Ragtime Blues 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flamingo Hawk 12.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Durkin’s Call 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lost in Rome 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 No More Talk 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 First Deputy 3.50 4 7-1
2 2 Alfio 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Risk Profile 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tawaret 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wardeya 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 High Stick 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Libretto (IRE) 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Settling Storm 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Way too Early 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Jet City Woman 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Geometrique 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tres Chic (ARG) 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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