Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Modern Midas | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tunnel Vision | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodside Warrior | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Chuckles | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forward Cast | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Milagroso | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One for My Brother | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Heart | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gal in a Rush | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Hands | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vienna Code | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pond Walker (GB) | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Bay | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Explosive Exchange | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reserve Currency | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shipsational | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Film Star | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whittington Park | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Swagger | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Way | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Costa Terra | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bezos | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Space Launch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Dripping Gold | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Daunt | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Q F Seventy Five | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chulainn | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Skate | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brazillionaire | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Alfio | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Right to Win (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weyhill Road | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Boat to Skye | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Invader | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Franc (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paxsational | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torigo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cubano | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venge | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Memphis | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Certified Loverboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Dwyer S.) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fort Bragg | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saudi Crown | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harrodsburg | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey Freshwater | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prove Right | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alternate Reality | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brew Pub | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barese | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad to the Bones | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winters Lion | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Varatti | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | South Street | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twelth Man | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unexpected (JPN) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Knows | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | More Than Work | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timbuktu | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forwardly | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Rewards | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kingfish Stevens | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Venezuela | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Urban Myth | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broken Spur | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Gatling | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shinsun | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo Rising | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Cup | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Achilles Heel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Winning Connection | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (John A. Nerud S.) – John A. Nerud S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Vic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Technique | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weyburn | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Ride | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Man Rocket | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Synthesis | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Mike | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | October Bliss | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Your Mission | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Force | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aula | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Study | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Munny for Nuthin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Metamorphoses | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Druid | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flintshire’s Rock | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Boulder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conquist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Maythisbetheone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Impazible Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Social Sidekick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Over the Cap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.