Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Beyond the Pale | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pursuing Pace | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Food Foodie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ballyhoo Prince | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master of None | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bunker Hill | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Prendergast | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sorolla | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Switzer | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mosley Natural | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Tick Tock | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alottacents | 8.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Evie’s Prince | 4.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seanow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dialing Dixie | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Comets | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backatya | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy the Kid | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spitball | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mice and Men | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Up for It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Circle Home | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nineteenamendment | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Her Cups | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Mountain | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Hour | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | All I Want Is You | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kentucky Reign | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Negra Gata | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tea Rose | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Scarlett Strong | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gilda’s Girl | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Josie Wales | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Box N Ben | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolly by Golly | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Zone | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Fun Son | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prins Fire | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Stars | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Andrew | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backwoods Boogie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tijuana Brass | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Continental Divide | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Conquest | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostlighter | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Greg’s Honor | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mint Game | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ace Nine Nine | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mystic Link | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Resident Liberal | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Joe Phillips | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Is Love | 3.50 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Infinite Series | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Home School | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delegated | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mudville Nine | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Syntax | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Money Room | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wingin and Singin | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Last Jumpstart | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Granville’s Garden | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sing Scat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proper Storm | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heartburn | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Believe in Freedom | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nancy My Love | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Lace | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singalong | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashionatta | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lottaclass Lilsass | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bletchley Girl | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thencomemorning | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Supersnake | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sevier | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Frontier | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Never Change | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Munni | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forloveofcountry | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up Against It | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Thunder | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot Themessenger | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tauber | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zip Line to Heaven | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Pere | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tall Order | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cryo | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Odinson | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chiringo | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flight of Bourbon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tenax | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Monster Mason | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sam Stormy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Manolito | 4.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kenner | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vail of Honor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Offense | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Rowdy Dan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jones Falls | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judy’s Army | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cypres Station | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.