Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Short Shift | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Cara | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessica’s Ride | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ichiban | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hazel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collaboration | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Collaboration | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rheaume | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sals Dream Girl | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Jasmine | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snowy Evening | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Chick | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Conquistadora | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | April Antics | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Harlan’s Bond | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Central Pride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warman Road | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juggler | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sway’sinmydna | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reunion Tour | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sorpreso | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sounds Spooky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Operation Torch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Program Trading (GB) | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scramble | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lachaise | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Billy | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Creation | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunderian | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winters Lion | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Trouble | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lastchanceatglory | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Thirty Five | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Friends Beer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Claws | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Demon | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dust Devil | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocco Strong | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pit Boss | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Factually Correct | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scherzando | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laurel Valley | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharpaz | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Hill | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frostuitous | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forward Move | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nobilis | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Moonage Daydream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Ginya | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masterof the Tunes | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Remember | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Central | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shinfull | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silken Dollar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Diva Banker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Joke | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amanda’s Folly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Dancin Renee S.) – Dancin Renee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Betsy Blue | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grannys Connection | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rossa Veloce | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kant Hurry Love | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Silver | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captainsdaughter | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bank On Anna | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mauritius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Legendary Lore | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Born a Gambler | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Grant | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Addicted to You | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watasha | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Acamar | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Abarrio | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Strike | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Mounte (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Achilles Heel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.