Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dominate Chic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Aint No Caboose | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jjs Royal Time | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honeymoon Hero | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Train of Thought V | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sneak Dont Streak | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Pistol Pete | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Racy Blu | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trs Amazing Gracie | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dashin Davey Crocket | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racing the Rails | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Cartel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Lippy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | K W | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gfr Mysticalillusion | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Im Jess an Angel | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puts N the Work | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nsm Snickers | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | L Gallito | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Empowered | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Streak Beduino | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Relentless Jewell | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Moon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Skyline | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabriel’s Legend | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leaveitonthefield | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Revenir | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gem Collection | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bordinos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Strategy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Benny | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Fire Run | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Can Do U | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gracie’s Boy Roy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bell Dozer | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Broken Hearts Bay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Emotion | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be My Huckleberry | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Cindy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Will | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shade | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jill’s Lemon Drop | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choctaw Blessings | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aprettylulaby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ivy Abad Girl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reba | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Sue | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond of Ekati | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lulus Flight Boots | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bit a Bad News | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catale | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (John Wayne S.) – John Wayne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mollies Rocket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Basic Chance | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Topper T | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Goes On | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Last Chance | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minecraft Maniac | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Delta Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runninthestreets | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Summer Dream | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Bileve | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Czechitout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Love Amplified | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrested | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Swirl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.