Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sorority Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sun and Wind | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | May Princess | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Time | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play Free Bird | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamery | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catch That Party | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrage | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agent Creed | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle Scars | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Son of an Ex | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hollywoodland | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St. Benedicts Prep | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stunningly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pitch Clock | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vita de Vito | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Portage | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spell On You | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Free | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Daylight | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Happiness | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juliana’s Rose | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dashing Della | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Aguililla | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Summer | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Works for Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Antonio of Venice | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Joke | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Khadullah | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Split Strike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mo Batten | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Eighty Five | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Knight’s Courage | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unaudited | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr Schuster | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bali Amour | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Charlie Tough | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jannie Mae | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lem Me Drink | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Orange Freeze | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Cara Mia Mine | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kara Para | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoppingatbloomies | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giggling Ghost | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mizz Me | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Personal | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camcha | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Diversion | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreaming of Carli | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | So Are You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sperss | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foliage | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volkert | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Johnson | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Terminator | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hatch | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dads Good Runner | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Smitty Run | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run White Rabbit | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moving Pictures | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pressure | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Cupid’s Heart | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | To a T | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khali Magic | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Royal Poppy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cupids Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adeliese’s Smile | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Amaretti | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Captain Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Born Dancer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stow On the Wold | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tony O | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Good Here | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ferris Muler | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Z Dancer | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chulligan | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gossiping Pando | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unaffected | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oysta | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Border Patrol | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Locke and Key | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Two Chuckles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gold Templar | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Factually Correct | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.