Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Herself | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mavilus | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Glen | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Lassie | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Betcha by Golly | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Fantasy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Smoak | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeing Red | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Rowdy Dan | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver R | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Know You Love Me | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edmund Fitzgerald | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Mucho Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sports Editor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Photo Copy | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mintenon | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Man | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cripple Creek | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost of Khozan | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Joke | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dizzy Kitty | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emotional Rescue | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Fire Within | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | World Factor | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Cowboy Bradley | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Factum Love Style | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Mo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Must Chill | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thomas Shelby | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tune In | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Ring Luck | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outlier | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romp | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Noble Fish | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kenner | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General’s Duty | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joe Brains | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alvy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Towner | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stardust Ziggy | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Room | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Charlie | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Between the Covers | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Distorted Times | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Golden Chella | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lying Jeff | 15.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Me Archie | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cloud Music | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morethanreadyeddie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Whiskey | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paradise Valley | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sainthoodforbrian | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikes Myth | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Handsome Man | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Call Wil | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Jack | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Warning | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Cash | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly Mischief | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sam Stormy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swifty Devil | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bam Blu | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cold Feet | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Slippin Jimmy | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Six Whips | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Saloon | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Friend Linus | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmic Treasure | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whata Guy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Tin | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Angry Man | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Exception | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melina’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bermondsey | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monday’s With Mike | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.