Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Take a Hint | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respirator | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Humor | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ben’s Hero | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twist of Faith | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shellback | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonecoldwarrior | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alboroto | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shackinthebox | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Last Mission | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aristocratic | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Plain Ornery | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speargun | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Key | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bring the Magic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exotic Cat | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chez Soleil | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amor Salvaje | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saddle Up Jessie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kobe’s Smile | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Kisses | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nothingmakesense | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Sunset | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Moon | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Coop | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ursuline | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Family Gal | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Diana | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Fantastic | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remember Me | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tina Tina Tina | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Irish Lady | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Baby Luck | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seiver | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sacred Union | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ritabook | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Just Quality | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Lace | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Titoschangedmyluck | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled Sass | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Coins | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Constitutionalrage | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blame Catalaya | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Earley Rose | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linahaspecshoes | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caged Pixie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Boss Lady | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blind Sight | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heleonortiz | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raison the Glass | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reina La Kelsy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nurse Rachett | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paper Mansion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mundle of Joy | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Renee | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Big Deal | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blowthruyelowlites | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Protomagic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bitty Boss | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proper Grammar | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Truly Ambitious | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alice Harper | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lizzies Red Velvet | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nucci | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Beauty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icestorming | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lunita | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hip Hop Hooray | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circle of Courage | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.