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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rose Barton (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Golden Again 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Sommer Daisy (FR) 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Awesome Taylor 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dendera 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ice Queen 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Keen Lady 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Built Different 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 They Are for Sale 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Whiskey Wild 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Brunch With Amy 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 She’s My Niece 1.20 4 8-1
4 4 Kythira 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Autumn Chill 4.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Cocktail Cutie 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Earls Rock (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Noble Reflection 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Burnin Turf 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 See Through It 10.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Whatmakessammyrun 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Chasin Munny 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kid Corleone 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cyberviking 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 American Theorem 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Disco Ball 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Escape Route 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Brazenly 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Affable 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Side by Side 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bella Baby 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Lil Town Sis 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Dancing Mo 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sweet Mother Mary 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Magazine 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Unjokable 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Court Snort 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 She’s a Joker 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Harper’s Gallop 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Ghostem 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Timely Luck 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sensible Move 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Shezmisbehaving 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Warrior’s Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 True Patriot 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Big Pond 0 0-1
11 11 Flymetothemoonbaby 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Strange Addiction 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 C Her Beauty 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Bold Choice 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Diamonds Danzing 3.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 Big Pond 4.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 The Music We Make 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Copper Bo Ten 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Ryder’s Candy 30.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Work N Flirt 6.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Just Is 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Annaghlasa (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cornelia Fort 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Slam Diego 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Point and Shoot 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Katerini 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Travel Smart 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dolly May (IRE) 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Rosy Edge 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Peppermint Flirt 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Miss Kaline 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Home Cooking 0 0-1
5 5 Clearly Unhinged 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pleasant 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Home Cooking 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dazzlingdominika 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Delitefull Hart 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 R Swirvin Girvin 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Liberal Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 She’s Resilient 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tom and Jazzy 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tangledupingrey 12.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Frost Alert 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Trusty Rusty 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Numero Dix (GB) 3.50 4 8-1
10 10 Ko Samui (IRE) 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Mischievous Path 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Brother Reid 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Fireman Dan 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Wegotbeeronice 30.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Circleofchampions 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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