Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Filigree | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tech Duinn | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmythetooth | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Grande O | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Mischief | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Subscribed | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Score the Rock | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Swept | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | With This Vow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Forty Smooth | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Ruvies in Time | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Itsakeyper | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tempermental | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Diva Banker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Alpine Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Laugh and Play | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot Fudge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosebug | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chi Town Lady | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mosienko | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Movie Moxy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ok Honey | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Truculent | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Realm | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alcools | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Quality | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Heart | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silipo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Blonde (GER) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Devine (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skims (GB) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pharoah’s Heart | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canisy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mise En Scene (GB) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Faith | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Milagro | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derrynane | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Vixen | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breeze Easy (GB) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hydra | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whispurring Kitten | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Icy Stare Down | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Mine | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Try It Again | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Meraviglioso | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carbon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Aguililla | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jolly Miss Jill | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Reply | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alice Kramden | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Girl Jal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shootoutthelights | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plentitude | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Z First | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candle | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Gossip | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awillaway | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Theory | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Cara | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | To a T | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Oats | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cupid’s Heart | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cupids Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guns n’ Graces | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Louise | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sacred Wish | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swoop to Finish | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Katherine | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Suspended Campaign | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wishing On a Star | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amity Island | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I’m Buzzy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shaman Princess | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mim | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nolita | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Hazel | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timely Conquest | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Adieu | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Echo in Eternity | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Montauk Mystique | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxing the Bank | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Mama Mia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Island Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | She Slays | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.