Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Masakado | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master of Malice | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Give It a Whirl | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Bandit | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Red Storm | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landslide Is Home | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sapphire Star | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Chessie | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace and Charm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waterworks | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Pearl | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vodkatini | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Silver Style | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Certain | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats Mr. Mo | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holla At Your Boy | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front Dancer | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Discreet Devil | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exaggerateddefence | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bali Rolling Tide | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockingham Joe | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ray’s Gone Astray | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rutherford | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bazoo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Behavior | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strugar | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Pete | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Berrier | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backatya | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Thrill | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gomomischief | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heckled | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bollinger | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Like Thunder | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gun Runnin’ Gal | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Creole | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Blonde Samaritan | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Do Da Day | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Save Your Tears | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sal’s Blue Jacket | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I Gotta Bolt | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Warrior | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bachelor Pad | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Maestro | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Rule | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Another Lulu | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Litigant | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rebel Empire | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lawlessness | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sutton Valley | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowie Two Step | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Name Brody | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rambert | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Above the Limit | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Savi | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cora Pearl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mama G’s Wish | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Pebble | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castilleja | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flashing Diamond | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Shooter | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Candy | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | W W Springtime | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Promise | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Warrior | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Beau | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepe and Heywood | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.