Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Sorority Party | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Run for Your Honey | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Grab the Glory | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Bernardini | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Nicky Jolene | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charity First | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Astonesthrowaway | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gram | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Follow Your Arrow | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Cara’s Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Marco T. | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Stroll | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Sam | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missy Greer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Money | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In My Opinion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | You Look Cold | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spettro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Provision | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paratus | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uragano | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Rapport | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Ghostlyprince | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Father Glado | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mama Banned Me | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scotto | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Papi On Ice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Achilles Heel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catchyasoon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Farm | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Forest | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wayakin | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lastchanceatglory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lawful | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Moonflyer | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Fire Baron | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Luna Warrior | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Purchase | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moment of Insight | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Billy’s Got Issues | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Run Diem Z | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cosmic Storm | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carpe Capella | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Equalizer | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bill of Rights | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Theregoesmymiracle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cubano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angelique | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tosconova Beauty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reigning Chick | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Nurse | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danseur d’Oro | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lavon | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clover Street | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captivating Cara | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outlaw Kid | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxwell Esquire | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Into the Sunrise | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pine Knoll | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | After Five | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Scents | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Package | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Success | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Stage Raider | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Uncle Moonlight | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Tonal Impact | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kinetic Sky | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shooters Shoot | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Business Model | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miles D | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Robyn and Eli | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Follow the Fed | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maggie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pimenova | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddyslilbosslady | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautifully Wicked | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Red Butterfly | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phinneys Harbor | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Striking Melody | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alterina | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cause I’m Elegant | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bandulu Queen | 50.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jannie Mae | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hayflation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mary Katherine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spoils of War | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.