Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marks Hip | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doncic | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunderheart | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inch | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Westward Look | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beaudacious | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosenquist | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly Shuffle | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Last Call London | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mici’s Express | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dreamcycle | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buraq’s Reflection | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Datsyuk | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Gambler | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love Our Family | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Silence | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sent by Angels | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prestigious | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shambala Girl | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forgiving Spirit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barely Funtional | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldensunrise | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trumped | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle John | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golf Drama | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Ransom | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sauls Call | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Lov | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ignatowski | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Chivas | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Episode Five | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shady Appeal | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Moe | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Harry | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ransomware | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Escape Artist | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rexford | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acquired Class | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Castleknock | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eastbound | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Prospect | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Essential Business | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zzyzx | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fried Asparagus | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenacious Lady | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Sugar | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toby’s Candy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm d’Oro | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Cinema S.) – Cinema S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wizard of Westwood | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worcester | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maltese Falcon (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Perfecto | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Uncle | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Missed the Cut | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s My House | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Mammoth | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Admiral | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tripoli | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ridin’thestormout | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Joy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sultry Kitten | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strikingly | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Irresistible Force | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Moon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Tea | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Firsttimeinforever | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt’s Gal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yolo Calls | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make It Snow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jai Ho | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.