Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cole Spur | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ashwins Orb | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galactic Empire | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calle de Boyd | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blueskiesandangels | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Colors | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spry Charlie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Brakes | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rowdy Ray | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late for Lunch | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheets | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreadpirateroberts | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iowa Club | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mafia Don | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runningforcash | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uxmal | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dodger Blue | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Packin Man | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitter Kat | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Briartown | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Impeccability | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hop Away Hottie | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creme de Cassis | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Sincere | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Climb to Glory | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archaic | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Biz B Quick | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smackin Good Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Prairie Rose S.) – Prairie Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dealing Justice | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alberta Sun | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princedreamcess | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adria | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My First Pearl | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Delight | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asena | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Jack Bishop S.) – Jack Bishop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Butterbean | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missyintomischief | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Diva | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lofthouse | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bossy Moment | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Girl Like Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fightingtemptation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ed Skinner S.) – Ed Skinner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tape to Tape | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kneedeepinsnow | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Dad | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oil Money | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Time Machine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chipofftheoldblock | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Medicine Tail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Exxel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Oscar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.